Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 209.456357 235.206457 263.635719 297.482850 336.852502 381.405099 435.925838
2025-03-09 170.091969 204.032402 244.725853 297.638151 365.395341 450.319378 566.523648
2025-03-16 146.030270 182.479901 228.505030 291.853254 378.324511 494.561823 666.743333
2025-03-23 131.185946 169.427275 219.795573 292.476291 397.209532 546.816535 784.692401
2025-03-30 117.690588 156.065606 208.360831 286.804394 405.071207 582.983968 883.901708
2025-04-06 108.211718 146.916819 201.300184 285.806992 418.656457 628.483665 1005.133769
2025-04-13 97.151608 134.340251 187.858601 273.378088 412.406470 640.884618 1071.802690
2025-04-20 93.559804 132.152965 189.264986 283.585714 443.194278 718.437742 1270.330684
2025-04-27 90.735600 130.759991 191.580513 295.257317 477.683125 807.645397 1511.571495
2025-05-04 85.841413 125.734449 187.678777 296.061505 493.079535 864.127358 1699.301946
2025-05-11 79.938432 118.649647 179.830848 289.208604 493.510707 891.641991 1830.090091
2025-05-18 74.864442 112.505721 172.992852 283.358662 494.931248 921.077892 1972.187060
2025-05-25 72.255530 110.276790 172.658434 289.449628 520.878631 1007.341784 2281.071517
2025-06-01 68.740303 106.310437 169.064861 289.209269 534.302343 1069.424141 2548.649647
2025-06-08 64.708854 101.183507 163.024729 283.666573 535.918903 1104.932140 2754.270258
2025-06-15 61.990816 98.101045 160.330494 284.263634 550.584375 1173.737920 3080.682036
2025-06-22 58.614650 93.658113 154.850871 278.787526 551.169703 1208.202992 3313.250032
2025-06-29 56.146565 90.650661 151.764825 277.824326 561.771859 1270.166154 3660.134005
2025-07-06 52.389883 85.140861 143.673996 265.819957 545.319206 1257.961664 3745.186639
2025-07-13 51.729781 85.145288 145.923414 275.679239 581.991680 1397.783661 4448.782397
2025-07-20 51.244365 85.426524 148.703925 286.949022 623.876589 1562.757678 5342.448348
2025-07-27 49.555654 83.378349 146.799336 287.725388 639.401533 1653.285623 5972.693226
2025-08-03 47.161051 79.880129 141.804080 281.109011 634.808684 1680.508779 6329.456041